Witness Testimony
The Honorable Donald Evans
Secretary Department of Commerce
The State of U.S. Industry
Full Committee on Energy and Commerce
March 24, 2004
10:00 AM
Testimony of Secretary of Commerce Donald L. Evans On the State of American
Industry Before the House Committee on Energy and Commerce
March 24, 2004
Mr. Chairman, thank you the invitation to participate in this hearing on the
state of American industry and the United States' economy. I appreciate your
leadership in raising the concerns of American companies and workers and helping
policymakers understand the challenges and opportunities U.S companies and
workers are facing. I would like to also congratulate my friend Chairman Barton
on your new role as Chairman of this Committee. You have served this country
well for over 20 years and I am sure your experience and leadership will bring
you continued great success. I look forward to working with you and other
members of the Committee as we continue strengthening the environment that will
enable American businesses to continue to succeed in today's global economy.
I strongly believe that businesses are at the strategic center of any civil
society. There are more than 138 million Americans at work right now realizing
their aspirations for their families. Businesses in America - from the smallest
shop to the biggest corporations offer opportunity for those with a dream,
provide a foundation for community and ground our democracy
The State of American Industry is Strong
America's economy is an amazing engine-generating opportunity, jobs, and the
most sophisticated and technologically advanced products in history. It is a
testimony to the genius of our system, the talents and discipline of our work
force, and the vision of our entrepreneurial spirit.
With only five percent of the world's population, the United States produces
about one-third of the global output. Americans have created an $11 trillion
economy. The United States remains far and away the largest producer of
manufactured goods in the world. Standing alone, our manufacturing sector would
be the 5th largest in the world - larger than China's economy as a whole.
America is the global leader in services, and retains a significant advantage in
banking, insurance, telecommunications, information technology and healthcare.
Household wealth has soared from an inflation-adjusted $7.8 trillion in 1950
to $44 trillion in 2004. We all understand how important it is for people to own
a home and build their own savings. A record 72 million American families own
their own home. More than 52 million, or nearly half of, American households,
own equities according to a recent survey released by the Investment Company
Institute and the Securities Industry Association. That represents a 7 percent
gain, or 3.5 million more households, from January 1999. The Resilience of the
American Economy
The Bush Administration took office on the bust side of a boom-bust cycle
that led to a recession and significant job losses. In fact, nearly 1.8 million
jobs were lost before the President's first year in office was complete: a year
marked by a recession that had been brewing for months, the collapse of the
dot-com bubble, the tragedy of September 11, and the discovery of years of
corporate malfeasance.
It is difficult to estimate the effects of 9/11 on our psyche or business
confidence. But we now know that in the 5 months following September 11, almost
1.2 million jobs were lost: 51 percent of all jobs lost in overall payroll
employment decline since January 2001.
The President's leadership has seen us through some of the most difficult
times in recent memory and resulted in remarkable economic resiliency.
Fortunately, the tax initiatives of 2001, 2002 and 2003 softened the blow from
the recent recession and set the stage for vigorous economic growth going
forward. Without the President's tax relief for families and small business, by
the end of this year real GDP would be 3.5 to 4.0 percent lower and 3 million
more people would be out of work, according to a Treasury Department analysis.
The Joint Economic Committee recently noted that the peak unemployment rate
just after the last recession was far lower than in prior recessions. The 6.3
percent peak in unemployment during the last recession compares favorably to 7.8
percent in 1980, 10.8 percent in 1982, and 7.8 percent after the 1990-91
contraction. Indeed, the current 5.6 percent unemployment rate is below the
average rate of the 1970s, the 1980s, and the 1990s.
A look at the global economy also underlines the positive direction we see at
home.
The latest data shows European unemployment at 8 percent compared to 5.6
percent in the United States. America also has the lowest long-term unemployment
rate in the West.
Over the past three years, the American economy has grown about twice as fast
as the economies of Europe and Japan. In 2003, the U.S. economy expanded at a
pace of 4.3 percent, with the second half of 2003 posting the best growth in 20
years. You cannot have strong employment without economic growth.
Several other indicators show that the economy is recovering from the shocks
this economy has faced over the past few years. Just look at recent data:
- Jobless claims are at their lowest level since the recession began.
- Nominal after-tax income was up 3.4 percent in 2003.
- Productivity grew from 2001 to 2003 at the fastest 2-year rate in 50
years.
- Small business confidence over the past several months has been at 20-year
highs. ·
- The equity markets added $4.2 trillion in new wealth from October
2002 to today.
- The economy has created 364,000 jobs in the past six months according to
the payroll survey and nearly one million according to the household survey.
- The purchasing managers index of manufacturing activity recorded its
fourth month over 60 in February, indicating the strongest sustained pickup
in activity since 1983.
- And a recent employment survey shows that manufacturers are optimistic
about hiring.
The last time a Secretary of Commerce testified before this Committee was
late 1995. A few months later, President Bill Clinton noted in his State of the
Union that "Our economy is the healthiest it has been in three decades
[and] we have the lowest combined rates of unemployment and inflation in 27
years." At that time, the combination of unemployment and inflation, or the
"misery index," stood at 8.3 percent. Today that measure is still
lower - at 7.3 percent. In addition, the mortgage rate was then at 7.8 percent;
today it is 5.4 percent. Based on the average price of a home ($168,700), the
average American homeowner is now paying $2,600 less per year in mortgage
payments.
Clearly, the President is taking the country in the right direction.
We do, however, have a lot of work to do, and neither the President nor I
will be satisfied until every American who wants a job can find one. But both of
us know that heaping additional burdens on business and closing markets always
kills jobs. That was the painful lesson of the Depression, when raising barriers
to trade compounded and prolonged the misery for working people around the
world.
There is more to do. The government must continue to encourage economic
growth through implementing the policies that support the principles I will
discuss. The President has proposed an aggressive plan and I am pleased to be
here today to discuss it. Before President Bush asked me to serve in his
Administration, I spent almost 30 years in the private sector; I know that our
company helped many of our fellow employees realize the dreams they had for
their families. Watching those dreams become reality was the most rewarding
aspect of my tenure as a company president and chief executive officer.
During those years, I was tested through business cycles. Identifying
challenges and risks, and adapting to opportunities allowed our company to
compete and win. We did not ignore challenges, did not try to stop change, and
never gave people working with us false promises of avoiding change.
Mr. Chairman, I know that there is anxiety out there in America. I know that
far too many of our workers are hurting. As a CEO, nothing gave me greater
satisfaction than changing a person's life by offering them a job. And nothing
was more painful than telling someone at our company that we no longer had a job
for them. That experience stayed with me. When I look at the latest economic
data, I see through the numbers. I always see a person with hopes and dreams and
a family. Fortunately, we are beginning to see favorable momentum.
The President and I are committed to creating the conditions for economic
growth and vitality so every single citizen who wants to work can find work. The
President is defining America's economic future in the world -- not assigning
blame, promoting economic isolationism, or selling Americans short. As Secretary
of Commerce, my job is to advocate for American business. My focus everyday is
to help companies, workers and communities as they work to meet new challenges
and seize opportunities.
Mr. Chairman, I believe that we are at a time of transition. Transitions are
never easy and this Administration knows there are workers experiencing pain. We
are directing resources and focusing our efforts on those who are hurting. For
example, our Economic Development Administration at the Department of Commerce
has worked with the Labor Department as they deploy "rapid response"
teams to Michigan, North Carolina and Tennessee to assist communities in those
states dealing with economic dislocation.
The challenges of today will require policymakers to be forward-looking and
innovative like never before. We have to understand and keep up with the rapid
pace of change, because our businesses must continue to lead the world, enter
new markets, control costs, and attract, train and retain the best people.
We are at a crucial time in our economic history and the decisions we make
today will have profound impact. This morning, I want to talk about four key
objectives that I believe are critical to our future success:
- Ensuring that our economy remains the most competitive in the world;
- Promoting America's immense innovative capacity;
- Preparing our workers for the 21st century economy; and
- Promoting strong commercial ties with the 95 percent of the world's
population that does not have the blessing of living in this country.
These objectives are fundamental. American companies and workers recognize
they are the ingredients for our success. I have been to many states in the
three years that I have had the honor of serving this Administration and people
tell me time and time again - allow us to create, compete and seek new markets
and we will get the job done every time.
These principles are also the foundation of the President's six-point
economic plan to promote economic growth and provide momentum for job creation.
As clear and intuitive as these principles sound, however, they are not
universally held. Some seek refuge in policies and rhetoric that promise winning
without competition, job creation through economic isolationism, and small
business fed by additional taxation.
I look forward to our dialogue about the challenges and opportunities facing
American industry and the steps that the Bush Administration is taking to
promote the principles of economic development I just articulated. But before
turning to each of these subjects in more depth, I want to take a moment to
provide a framework for where the economy of the United States currently stands.
Keeping our Economy the Most Competitive in the World
As our workers equip themselves for new challenges and competition, and as
American businesses cut costs, manage smarter and engage in new markets they
rightly expect the government at all levels to work with them, not against them.
Rising costs of health care, litigation, energy and unnecessary regulation
kill jobs. It is the steady accumulation of multiple burdens that has had the
most severe impact on the competitive environment in which our companies
operate.
While our businesses have tightened their belts and raised their productivity
in an effort to succeed in the marketplace, they have seen that advantage and
their hard-won productivity gains eroded by higher energy costs, medical and
pension costs, tort liability costs, and excessive taxation and burdensome
regulation. According to the National Association of Manufacturers, these
overhead costs add approximately 22 percent to American manufacturers' labor
costs (nearly $5 per hour worked).
As Secretary of Commerce, I have spent considerable time working with and
listening to manufacturers all across the United States. Over the past year, we
held 20 roundtable discussions with hundreds of manufacturers in the automotive,
aerospace, biotechnology, furniture, semiconductor, and textile industries,
among others, in more than fourteen states. And I can tell you that they did not
ask us to isolate them behind walls or to impose new tariff regimes. They told
us to get our own house in order by attacking the burdensome costs that make
them less competitive in a global environment.
Based on this effort, we released Manufacturing in America in January, a
comprehensive report with more than 50 recommendations. We have already
implemented a number of these recommendations and will be enacting more soon.
For our part, we will be appointing an Assistant Secretary for Manufacturing and
Services and establishing an Unfair Trade Practices Task Force to monitor and
ensure our foreign competitors are playing by the rules when importing into the
U.S. market. In addition, we will also aggressively pursue trade violations that
put U.S. exporters at a disadvantage through a new Office of Investigations and
Compliance. The President's Manufacturing Council will also be established to
provide high-level guidance on issues impacting manufac-turing in the United
States.
These steps will help, but it will take a much larger, very sustained effort
from policymakers to get some fundamental costs in line to assist our companies
to continue to win in the world economy.
We all know that rising health care costs are eroding competitiveness. In
1980, health care was 8.8 percent of GDP. In 2000 it was 13.3 percent and in
2002 it was nearly 15 percent. It will be 16 percent of GDP within five years.
Businesses pay for their employees' health benefits because of tax incentives
and because they see their own interest served by a healthy and motivated
workforce: 97% of the National Association of Manufacturers' members pay for
employee health care benefits. However, there is a competitive cost of doing so:
the United States already spends more than twice as much on health care per
person as other industrialized countries.
Regulatory compliance remains a huge burden in expense and lost time. While
the exact cost of regulation is uncertain, the total cost is comparable to
discretionary spending- about $640 billion in 2001, according to the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB). Regulation can increase the cost of producing goods
and services in the economy, thereby raising prices to the consumer and placing
jobs and wages at risk.
Regulatory compliance costs fall hardest on small and medium-sized
businesses. This is a significant finding since small firms account for the vast
majority of new business growth. Small business ownership is a critical vehicle
for all Americans-and increasingly for women and minorities-to achieve greater
economic opportunity.
In 1999, the OECD estimated that the economic deregulation that occurred in
the United States over the last 20 years permanently increased GDP by 2 percent.
The OECD also estimates that further deregulation of the transportation, energy,
and telecommunication sectors would increase U.S. GDP by another 1 percent.
This country must build on a national energy plan that will help us access
new sources of supply and improve energy transmission. Businesses use nearly 40
percent of the natural gas and 30 percent of the electricity consumed in the
United States.
I hear a great deal from businesses of all shapes and sizes about the
complexity of our tax system, and the disincentives that complexity creates for
doing business in the United States. This complexity raises costs but it also
raises uncertainty, which is the enemy of investment and job creation. The tax
code also has a profound effect on the relative attractiveness of investing in
and creating jobs in the United States. The first, and easiest, action to take
is to make the President's tax cuts permanent so businesses can continue to
expand and plan for future growth.
One of the most egregious examples of government increasing costs comes out
of the tort system in this country. In 2002, the lawsuit burden was $809 for
each American. More than $200 billion is spent on our tort system, and only 20
percent of that goes toward economic damages. One issue of particular concern is
the ongoing asbestos litigation. The continuing litigation has yet to help many
of the individuals who were harmed by prolonged exposure to asbestos. At the
same time, the litigation hangs over our economy, raising all companies'
insurance costs and dampening their ability to hire.
You cannot say you support creating the environment for job creation unless
you grapple with the underlying drivers of costs that discourage hiring and
depress investment. That is why President Bush has proposed relief for the
engines of our economy.
Ensure the United States Remains the Most Innovative Nation on Earth
The innovative capacity of the United States has always been one of our
greatest strengths. The innovation infrastructure of our country is built on
over 200 years of invention, discovery, development and commercialization. It is
an intricate system that exists no place else on Earth. Our investments in
innovation - whether in federal labs, at universities, or in businesses across
America - create breakthroughs, cures, industries and jobs every day.
America's entrepreneurial spirit will originate from businesses being built
in garages and innovations taking place on shop floors. It is America's
inventors and workers who create new ways of thinking and doing, spawning new
industries and ways of life.
Innovation ensures the jobs created will be good jobs. New products and
production methods continue to raise our productivity and competitiveness, and
will raise our standard of living to unprecedented levels. President Bush has
made historic commitments to the innovative capacity of the United States. We
will spend a record $126 billion on federal R&D this year, and the President
has proposed $132 billion next year. This is a 42 percent increase since
President Bush took office. In addition, the American private sector will spend
another $193 billion on R&D this year. To help promote this private sector
commitment we continue to urge Congress to make the R&D tax credit
permanent.
Business leaders want a continued commitment to R&D and assurance that
the government reinforces, rather than creates obstacles to, the process of
generating new ideas and of bringing innovations to the marketplace. That is why
the Administration continues to support the unique capabilities of national labs
and universities, including establishing cooperative research programs for the
benefit of small and medium-sized businesses. In addition, this Administration
is promoting the process of manufacturing technology transfer to ensure that the
benefits of R&D are diffused broadly throughout the manufacturing sector,
particularly to small and medium-sized enterprises.
Innovation and investment are key drivers of the economy. One reason for the
manufacturing sector's early entry into recession was a sharp drop in business
investment as industry pulled back from a period of heavy investment in
technology. Not surprisingly, the industries with the most significant job
losses in manufacturing are precisely those industries - telecommunications
equipment and computing - that benefited most from the boom in investment of the
late 1990s.
There is recent evidence that innovation will continue to propel the American
economy. According to the Institute for International Economics, our economy
shed 71,000 software programmer jobs paying an average of $64,000 between
1999-2002. But at the same time, 115,000 software engineering jobs paying
$75,000 were created, a good sign that higher-paying jobs are replacing those
being lost.
Americans should expect great advances in biotechnology, nanotechnology, and
in many other industries across our economy. These advances will improve lives
around the world and create American jobs. That is why the President is taking
dramatic steps to promote innovation through R&D, with targeted spending at
the record levels noted above. This money catalyzes the private sector's
ingenuity and creates the industries and jobs of the future.
Business leaders emphasize the importance of adequately and effectively
protecting intellectual property rights, and the corrosive effect of the failure
of some of our trading partners to enforce these rights. Intellectual property
protection is essential in ensuring the virtuous cycle of innovation that raises
our productivity and meets the needs of consumers around the world. That is why
the Department of Commerce continues to strengthen the Patent and Trademark
Office, enhancing intellectual property protection and increasing the
availability of new products and services.
This Administration is promoting the technological infrastructure of the 21st
century. We have taken concrete steps to create an economic and regulatory
environment in which broadband can flourish:
-
The President's tax relief has given businesses
powerful incentives to invest in broadband technology.
-
The President's economic security package
allows companies faster depreciation for capital-intensive broadband
equipment.
-
The President has signed a two-year extension
of the moratorium on Internet access taxes, and urges the Congress to make
the moratorium permanent.
-
Under this Administration, the FCC has
issued an Order freeing newly deployed broadband infrastructure from
economic regulation designed for a different era. This decision provides a
powerful incentive for incumbents and new entrants alike to invest in new
broadband infrastructure.
-
The Administration also supports policies that
will ensure that Voice-over-Internet Protocol is also free from unnecessary
economic regulation.
-
The Administration has doubled the amount of
radio spectrum available for unlicensed wireless broadband technologies and
cleared the way for additional licensed spectrum as well. And,
-
The Administration is working to ensure that
Broadband-over-Power Lines can be beneficially deployed as quickly as
possible.
All of these actions have helped to ensure that consumers have a variety of
choices for broadband, particularly in rural communities, and will speed
infrastructure investment in the United States. As a result we have seen the
number of broadband subscribers in the United States increase from 10 million in
2001 to over 21 million today.
Other pro-growth policies will help American businesses create new
industries, companies and jobs. When some propose raising tax rates, they are
disproportionately taxing the engines of growth--small businesses. Small
businesses owners pay almost 80 percent of the taxes in the top rate through
pass-through tax entities. Small businesses create approximately 70 percent of
the new private-sector jobs in this economy. Small businesses employ half our
workforce. If taxes are raised on these firms, they will have less money to hire
and invest.
Innovation, technology and entrepreneurship continue to create jobs and
augment our standard of living and we must be committed to helping them
flourish.
Preparing our Workers for the 21st Century Economy
There are fundamental and structural changes under way in our economy. To
meet this challenge and benefit from the opportunities that innovation creates,
it is crucial that students, workers, job seekers and communities are provided
with the assistance and tools they need to succeed. America's workforce must
adapt to meet the needs of the 21st Century economy, and we must be there to
support them.
Employment in manufacturing has been declining since 1979. The decline of
manufacturing employment and the rise of service employment are manifestations
of structural change. What many fail to note is that this phenomenon is global:
almost all major industrialized economies have lost manufacturing jobs. Some
have tried to lay the blame solely on low-cost labor in developing countries,
but it is important to note that China lost 8.6 million manufacturing jobs
between 1998 and 2002.
In each one of your districts, new jobs are being created every day. The
Business Employment Dynamics report indicates the American economy creates about
600,000 jobs a week. Amid dynamic job "churning" in this country, 39.2
million jobs have been created since 1980. According to recent data from the
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the United States is expected to create 21
million net new jobs by 2012, increasing our workforce to 165.3 million in 2012.
And looking deeper into these numbers reveals that the trend of our economy
becoming more deeply based upon services will continue. In addition these new
jobs will be predominantly in emerging fields and industries - four of the ten
fastest growing industries, in terms of output, from 2002 - 2012 are expected to
be in high tech.
Add to this the fact that BLS also estimates that the average American
changes jobs ten times from ages 18 to 36, and you get more insight into the
shifting and dynamic work environment that Americans face.
We will need to prepare for this ongoing transition. The talent and
motivation of the men and women who work in and manage America's companies must
be matched by our efforts to promote education and training to compete in a
dynamic, global economy.
Some business leaders I have spoken to express serious concerns about whether
the United States is adequately preparing the next generation for the demands of
a high-tech workplace. Advanced labor skills are one of the decisive factors
determining our nation's ability to compete in the global economy.
Preparing the next generation of America's leaders starts with the basics.
That is why passage of President Bush's No Child Left Behind Act of 2001 was so
important. The new law reflects the President's determination to improve the
performance of America's elementary and secondary schools while at the same time
ensuring that no child is trapped in a failing school.
In addition, the President has a $250 million community college job training
initiative, to train people for today's economy and help them find jobs. The
President's "Jobs for the 21st Century" initiative will prepare our
economy and workforce for new challenges by expanding access to post-secondary
education and fostering job-training partnerships between community colleges and
employers in industries with the most demand for skilled workers.
This Administration is committed to investing in the types of ongoing
retraining programs our workers need to develop the skills in our transitioning
economy. The Administration's 2005 budget proposes roughly $23 billion to fund
31 job training and employment programs government-wide. The bulk of this
funding, about $19 billion, is administered by the Departments of Labor and
Education primarily through the Workforce Investment Act (WIA), the Carl D.
Perkins Vocational and Technical Education Act (Perkins), Vocational
Rehabilitation Services, and Pell Grants for students enrolled in technical or
two-year post-secondary schools.
We will also dedicate over $1.1 billion in fiscal year 2005 for training and
cash benefits for workers dislocated by increased imports or a shift of
production to certain foreign countries.
Government can do a great deal, but it is important to note the significant
investment that American business is making in the future of the American
workforce. The private sector spends about $60 billion a year to provide
training and education for American workers. This investment is made in major
corporations that have extensive programs akin to in-house business schools, and
in small businesses that help with tuition for part-time classes and local
seminars.
These public and private investments make a difference in the lives of
millions of Americans and they are essential to the competitive position of our
industry and workers.
Promoting Strong Commercial Ties with the 95 Percent of the World that
doesn't have the Blessing of Living in this Country
I cannot talk about the American economy without talking about the important
role of trade and the role of investment in a global economy.
Expanding trade and investment abroad are, and have been, fundamental pillars
of American economic success in the 20th and 21st centuries. Trade represents an
unprecedented opportunity for our workers and our future. Americans welcome
trade because it expands opportunity and growth. Over 230,000 small and
medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) export from the United States, accounting for 97
percent of all American exporters. Very small companies- those with fewer than
20 employees-make up more than two-thirds of all American exporting firms.
President Bush supports expanding trade, just as do American businesses, because
the benefits are clear.
Since the creation of GATT in 1948, real GDP has skyrocketed. World exports
have grown from $58 billion to nearly $6 trillion. Expressed in 2000 dollars,
U.S. per capita GDP grew from $12,000 in 1950 to $36,000 in 2002. Today, U.S.
GDP is five times larger than it was in 1950, and American exports are 20 times
larger. American exports accounted for nearly 25 percent of U.S. economic growth
in the 1990s and supports more than 10 million jobs.
Fair trade helps to lower prices and raise American living standards. Over
the past decade, NAFTA and the Uruguay Round agreements have raised the income
of the average American family of four by up to $2,000 a year. A University of
Michigan study shows that lowering global trade barriers by one-third could
boost the American economy by $177 billion, and raise living standards for the
average family by $2,500. Trade also drives competition and innovation, both of
which are key to raising productivity and greater prosperity worldwide.
Trade and security go hand in hand. Countries that trade together have more
to lose in the event of conflict; trade becomes part of a virtuous circle
reinforcing peaceful international relations and stronger economic development.
We have seen in the not-too-distant past that, when economies close their doors,
it has a ripple effect. Other nations adopt protectionism and everyone loses.
The world experienced this in the 1930s with the Great Depression and the
ensuing conflict of World War II. The combined effects of rapid changes in
communications, transportation technology, the end of Cold War economic
divisions, and the global lowering of trade barriers have made the global
marketplace a reality. That translates into expanded markets for American goods
and services, but also stiffer competition-both in export markets and here at
home.
However, this is no reason to withdraw from the world economically. Our
business leaders understand that their future growth depends on a global market
and that their access to export markets depends on a willingness to engage
foreign competitors here. And they do not shrink from the task.
I do not hear an interest in economic isolationism from the business
community, whether in the form of tariffs or quotas. Rather, our companies and
workers see international trade as a simple question of fairness. If the United
States keeps its markets open to its trading partners' goods, then they should
do the same. But, where our trading partners do not live up to the terms of our
agreements or otherwise heed the rules, those trading partners should face the
consequences as laid out in those agreements.
Trade Enforcement
This Administration will continue our efforts to eliminate tariff and
non-tariff barriers to our exports through negotiation with our trading
partners. We will also continue to vigorously enforce existing trade rules and
American trade laws. Since January 2001, Commerce has initiated and completed
152 new antidumping and countervailing duty investigations resulting in 61 new
orders placed on unfairly traded imports.
We know that we have the best workers in the world, and that we can compete
with anyone. But the competition has to be fair. The security and prosperity of
our nation and the world depend on the rules being perceived as fair.
In order to ensure this end, this Administration is taking new and proactive
measures to strengthen the enforcement and compliance of our trade agreements.
Within the Department of Commerce's International Trade Administration, we have
created a new Unfair Trade Practices Task Force that will expand and strengthen
our ability to advance American commercial interests by attacking the root
causes of unfair trade. This office analyzes market trends and foreign
government and business practices to identify potential unfair trade problems at
the earliest stage possible. The Task Force is presently analyzing the 30
largest categories of Chinese imports, including computers, footwear, office
machine parts, furniture, and radio/TV equipment.
We are also creating a new Office of Investigations and Compliance as an
enforcement unit within the Commerce Department to make sure our trading
partners abide by their agreements and to combat violators of intellectual
property rights (IPR) around the world. Many of the investigators in the unit
will have law degrees. The unit will have a team of experts in IPR, corporate
accounting, investigations, and intelligence.
In addition, we are building an Office of China Compliance to focus on
antidumping cases involving imports from China and to concentrate on and
strengthen our expertise to address the unique problems encountered in China and
other non-market countries.
Nothing hurts innovation like having your ideas stolen from you. We are
working hard to make sure that does not happen. The World Trade Organization (WTO)
has agreements barring the theft of intellectual property. Piracy by foreign
businesses, particularly in China, for example, is a chronic problem for many
American firms. Last fall, I led a mission to China and highlighted China's lack
of IPR enforcement. I met with high-ranking Chinese officials and reiterated our
continuing concern; that effective IPR protection requires that criminal
penalties for intellectual property theft and fines are large enough to be a
deterrent rather than a business expense.
I believe in the strong enforcement of our trade laws, especially
intellectual property protection, and we are taking proactive measures to combat
piracy. I have tasked Commerce agencies, such as the Patent and Trademark Office
and the new Office of Investigations and Compliance, to coordinate their efforts
to vigorously pursue allegations of IPR violations wherever they occur,
especially in China.
The Administration is committed to exercising the legal remedies available
under the WTO and under U.S. law when clear violations occur. As a matter of
fact, the United States Trade Representative announced the filing of a case at
the WTO regarding China's discriminatory tax rebate policy for integrated
circuits.
This Administration also is working with industry through the vigorous
enforcement of trade laws, and through consultations with the governments
involved to address the efforts of other governments to confer an unfair
competitive advantage on their industry. In one such case, after discovering
that a Chinese factory counterfeited its medical products, the American company
involved contacted the Commerce Department with the problem. Working with the
Chinese government, this Administration ensured that the counterfeiter and
distributor were arrested on criminal charges, resulting in the elimination of
the counterfeiting of medical supplies valued at roughly $15 million per year.
Virtually all of the businesses I meet indicate that they are prepared to
compete head-on with anyone in the global marketplace; what they are not
prepared to do is compete against foreign governments as well.
While I have mentioned just a few of the steps we are taking to bolster trade
enforcement and compliance, I need to address briefly and specifically our trade
relationship with China. The stakes involved are high. China is growing at an
extraordinary rate and is becoming a major player in the global economy. Indeed,
China now represents the fastest-growing market for American goods and services.
Our exports to China surged by 28 percent in 2003, while imports were up by 22
percent last year. China is our third largest trading partner. Bilateral
merchandise trade reached $181 billion in 2003. China's development, and the
increased standard of living literally bringing hundreds of millions of people
out of poverty-are extremely positive signs.
One of the basic reasons for negotiating for 15 years with the Chinese over
their accession to the World Trade Organization was to knock down the many
barriers to entering China's market. The situation facing our businesses from a
competitive perspective was far worse prior to China's entry into the WTO. Our
firms lacked access to the Chinese market, but their businesses had relatively
free access to ours.
While China's market represents an enormous opportunity, it presents
challenges we must confront: we must be strong on growth and strong on
enforcement. There is still a very long way to go. I can assure you that the
Department of Commerce is dedicated to making sure that China and all nations
plays by the rules. In 2003, over 50 percent of all new antidumping orders put
in place by the Department were against China. Historically that figure has been
18 percent.
This Administration will continue to pursue China's compliance with its WTO
commitments vigorously and enforce our domestic unfair trade laws rigorously and
fairly. The Commerce Department is fully committed to ensuring that China
complies with WTO rules, opens markets, drops barriers, eliminates state
subsidies, and allows market forces to determine economic decisions. In June, I
will be going to China to continue pressing their leadership for compliance,
enforcement and openness.
Around the world this Administration will continue to fight so American
workers will continue to succeed in the global economy.
Working with the World Benefits Everyone Before I conclude, permit me to
address a topic that has been much in the news: the impact of international
competition on job creation. In addition to trading products, American workers
now compete in a global labor market. About 2.4 billion of the world's 6.3
billion people are currently part of the global workforce. About 75 percent of
these workers live and work in developing countries and about 25 percent in the
industrialized world. These are staggering numbers and when you consider that,
with only 5 percent of the world's population, the United States generates
approximately 33 percent of global GDP you get a sense of the true economic
leadership position we have.
The United States greatly benefits by doing business with the world. Right
now, foreign companies employ 6.4 million Americans, who, in turn, help employ
millions more. Foreign business leaders realize that American workers are the
best in the world. There are hundreds of foreign companies employing American
workers, including Norwegian Cruise Lines, Honda, and UBS Investment Bank.
New foreign investments occur regularly, although they do not seem to attract
the attention devoted to investment offshore. But foreign investments made here
are creating many times more jobs than are being offshored from the United
States. For example, in my home state of Texas, Toyota plans to hire 2,000
employees in the next year at its new San Antonio facility.
Foreign direct investment in the United States totaled $82 billion in 2003,
over twice the amount from the previous year. In fact, since 1990, foreigners
have made direct investments of $1.5 trillion in U.S. companies and factories.
Increased foreign investment means more factories, more research and development
and more jobs for Americans through companies based abroad. These companies
account for hundreds of thousands of good jobs, including more than 700,000 in
California, almost 500,000 in New York, more than 425,000 in Texas, and more
than 300,000 each in Illinois and Florida.
Many of those 6.4 million jobs are at risk if this country begins to engage
in the isolationism that would cause us to close down global labor markets.
America cannot turn back from a global marketplace of goods and services.
Engagement with the world adds jobs and growth, while a policy of economic
isolation destroys them.
Our advanced financial, legal, and educational systems make the United States
a prime location for investment in our businesses and workers. America must
continue to strengthen those competitive advantages through the policies I have
discussed today. Unfortunately, there are some who do not seem to believe that
American workers can compete with workers around the world. I know we can.
It is important to have the facts: according to the Bureau of Labor
Statistics, only one percent of job losses in large layoffs are associated with
overseas relocation, with another two percent due to import competition.
Contrast that to the 36 percent due to seasonal layoffs. Forrester Research
projects a worst-case scenario that 3.3 million jobs will be lost over the next
decade. Our economy creates nearly 3 million jobs each month. As the Washington
Post noted, the jobs projected to go overseas represent about one percent of the
job "churning" in our labor market.
IBM, for example, recently won a contract from Nokia, the Finnish
telecommunications company, worth over $5 billion. Alone, this contract equals
almost one-third of the entire Indian information technology software and
services industry in 2003. Put another way, the Best Buy retailing chain has
more revenues than the entire Indian IT sector.
In 2003, the United States exported $305 billion of Total Services, and we
ran a services surplus of $59 billion. Using a simple share of GDP, U.S. exports
of Total Services support more than 3.9 million jobs in the United States. In
2002 (latest data available by region), the United States ran a significant
trade surplus of Total Private Services with China and India. Exports to both
countries combined were $9.3 billion while imports were $5.8 billion.
There are, however, some American workers who have seen jobs outsourced or
are concerned about their jobs going overseas. We all share these concerns and
we are all motivated to address them. Globalism and competition are concepts,
but a paycheck is a reality, and this Administration is dedicated to providing
the opportunity for every American to find a job and provide for his or her
family.
We will continue to strengthen the programs I described earlier to assist
individuals and communities in the adjustment to a growing global economy. We
will continue to work to ensure that American companies can continue to
successfully compete with anyone in the world. We will enforce our trade laws
and make sure others play by the rules. We will promote education and support
innovation. And we will not shrink from these challenges or accept defeat. The
worst thing the United States could do is to pursue isolationist policies that
will cost jobs.
America has overcome the challenge of lower global wages in the past, and
always come out better for it. Forty years ago, people worried about low-cost
Japanese labor. Ten years ago, people feared jobs would all migrate to Mexico.
Some make the same mistake when they look to China and India with concern today.
The doomsayers will undoubtedly have another target in the future.
To achieve sustained growth for all Americans, the United States must
continue to stay engaged in the world. We must ensure free, fair and open
competition. It makes our industries more productive, while American workers and
their families enjoy higher wages and better products and services at cheaper
prices.
American Industry and Workers Will Meet the Challenges and Lead the World
Americans are innovative, pragmatic problem-solvers who thrive on
competition. We have the future in our hands, and we control our own destiny
through the choices we make.
The President understands that economic security and national security are
inseparable. In both areas he has laid out a complementary vision of America's
leadership role. He faces these challenges with confidence, understands how to
succeed in this environment, and believes in the American people. Embracing and
shaping the global economy toward American values is the only way to ensure a
more stable, peaceful and secure world for the next generation of Americans.
America cannot follow the path urged by isolationists who are afraid to
confront the challenges we face, who refuse to be honest with the American
people about those challenges, and who deny what it will take to respond. There
is no protection in protectionism, only defeat and defeatism.
The United States needs pro-growth economic programs to create a better
American future in a more secure and prosperous world. President Bush is
dedicated to pursuing economic policies that give American companies and
American workers the freedom to succeed. As American companies remake themselves
and successfully meet their customers' needs, they will create long-term
economic growth and new American jobs. To support this process, we must protect
the flexibility and productivity that have made the American economy the envy of
the world and American workers the most prosperous in history.
Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee it is an honor to be with you today
and I appreciate your time and attention. I would be pleased to answer any
questions that you may have.
Attachment in Adobe PDF
|